The Political Bridge

Maine Poll: Statistical Dead Heat on Proposition 1, Repealing the Gay Marriage Law

 Maine Poll

 

By Julie Bolcer

 

With one day to go before the election, a new poll shows that voters in Maine favor repealing the gay marriage law by 51% to 47%, virtually a tie given the poll’s margin of error or plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

The latest results released on Monday showed slight movement in favor of Question 1, the ballot initiative that would repeal the gay marriage law, since a poll two weeks ago showed the measure tied at 48%.

Latest Polling Data on the New Jersey Gubernatorial Race Show Governor John Corzine(D) Slightly Ahead of Republican Challenger Chris Christie

	Dates	Christie	Corzine	Daggett	Margin
AVERAGE		40.8	42.3	10	Corzine +1.5
Monmouth/Gannett	10/31-11/1/09	41	43	8	Corzine +2
SurveyUSA	10/30-11/1/09	45	42	10	Christie +3
Democracy Corps (D)	10/29-11/1/09	36	41	14	Corzine +5
FDU	10/22-11/1/09	41	43	8	Corzine +2

 Information courtesy of Polling Numbers.com

A Poll of Polls Shows a Good Possibility of a Republican Sweep in Tuesday's Gubernatorial Elections

New Jersey: Christie (R) vs. Corzine (D)

Source: Polling Numbers.Com

Pollster	Dates	Christie	Corzine	Daggett	Margin
AVERAGE		43.3	40.6	9.9	Christie +2.7
PPP (D)	10/31-11/1/09	47	41	11	Christie +6
Quinnipiac	10/27-11/1/09	42	40	12	Christie +2
Monmouth/Gannett	10/28-30/09	43	42	8	Christie +1
YouGov/Polimetrix	10/27-30/09	41	43	8	Corzine +2
Rasmussen	10/29/09	46	43	8	Christie +3
Zogby	10/27-29/09	39	40	14	Corzine +1
Neighborhood (R)	10/27-29/09	42	35	8	Christie +7

Virginia: McDonnell (R) vs Deeds (D)

Pollster	Dates	McDonnell	Deeds	Margin
AVERAGE		54.7	41.1	McDonnell +13.6
Public Policy Polling	10/31-11/1/09	56	42	McDonnell +14
YouGov	10/27-30/09	53	40	McDonnell +13
Mason Dixon Polling	10/28-29/09	53	41	McDonnell +12
DailyKos.com	10/26-28/09	54	44	McDonnell +10
Rasmussen Reports	10/27/09	54	41	McDonnell +13
Roanoke College	10/21-27/09	55	39	McDonnell +16
Survey USA	10/25-26/09	58	41	McDonnell +17

Public Policy Polling: Conservative Party Candidate Doug Hoffman is Primed to Win the Special Election in NY's 23rd Congressional District

Raleigh, N.C. – Doug Hoffman has a large lead in his bid to be elected the new Congressman from New York’s 23rd Congressional District.

Hoffman is at 51% to 34% for Bill Owens(D) and 13% for Dede Scozzafava(R) in the poll conducted over the weekend. In a two way contest against Owens, Hoffman holds a 54- 38 advantage.

 

To read more of these poll results Download PPP_Release_NY23_1101424

Public Policy Polling: Republican Challenger Chris Christie Charges Ahead of Democratic Incumbent Jon Corzine

Raleigh, N.C. – Chris Christie leads Jon Corzine 47-41 in Public Policy Polling’s final

survey of the New Jersey Governor’s race. Independent Chris Daggett polls at 11%.

Christie’s six point lead is an increase from four points a week ago and a single point

three weeks ago. He’s buoyed by a 52-29 lead with independents...

 

To read the entire poll results Download PPP_Release_NJ_1101513

Zogby Interactive Data Report: A Deadlocked New Jersey Gubernatorial Election

Galloway Twp, NJ - A poll of 1,093 likely New Jersey voters finds incumbent Democratic Governor Jon Corzine leading Republican challenger Chris Christie by one percentage point (40% to 39%) headed into next Tuesday's general election. 

Support for independent challenger Chris Daggett sits at 14%.  Daggett has strong support among independent and unaffiliated voters (23%), but is also pulling support from the left (13% among Democrats) and the right (8% among Republicans). 

	Overall	DEM (42%)	IND (26%)*	GOP (32%)
Jon Corzine	40%	71%	26%	11%
Chris Christie	39%	10%	39%	77%
Chris Daggett	14%	13%	23%	8%
Someone Else	1%	1%	2%	Less than 1%
Undecided	6%	5%	10%	4%

*Includes Independent and Unaffiliated voters.  Party ID based on self identification

From Public Policy Polling: Voters are Unhappy with Congress; More So with Republican Members than with Democratic Members

Raleigh, N.C. – Voters across the country are unhappy with both the Democrats and

Republicans in Congress right now. and that’s opening the door for independent

candidates to possibly have some success in 2010.

40% of registered voters say they would vote Democratic for Congress if the election was held today, with 29% preferring the Republicans and 22% saying their support would go to an independent or third party candidate. Asked to choose just between the two major parties the Democrats lead 48-40.

 

To read the entire report Download PPP_Release_National_1023513

The Gallup Poll's Tracking of Obama's Approval Ratings: Largest Second- to-Third-Quarter Drop For An Elected President

PRINCETON, NJ -- In Gallup Daily tracking that spans Barack Obama's third quarter in office (July 20 through Oct. 19), the president averaged a 53% job approval rating. That is down sharply from his prior quarterly averages, which were both above 60%.

In fact, the 9-point drop in the most recent quarter is the largest Gallup has ever measured for an elected president between the second and third quarters of his term, dating back to 1953.

The Latest Harris Poll Contains Disturbing News for Obama

New York, N.Y. — October 16, 2009

This month, President Obama’s positive ratings drop to 45% while over half of Americans (55%) give him negative ratings.

 

 Independents are down on the president as 60% give him negative ratings while 40% give him positive marks on his overall job performance.

   

Three in five Americans (61%) say they believe things are getting worse in the country...

Obama Approval Ratings Steady, Personal Image Remains Positive, says The Pew Research Center

Most Continue to Say He Brings "New Approach" to Politics

Following his nationally televised address to Congress, opinion of President Barack Obama has taken a more favorable turn. Obama’s job approval ratings, which had declined in the summer, have remained essentially unchanged over the past month. And the balance of opinion regarding the health care reform proposals before Congress has become a bit more positive than it was in late August, though the public is about evenly divided over those proposals.

Obama’s job approval rating, currently 55%, has changed little since late July. Nonetheless, it remains well below his rating at the 100-day mark of his presidency (63%). The president’s personal image also has slipped since the early weeks of his administration, but continues to be very strong.

Currently, 83% say Obama is a good communicator, while 78% say he is warm and friendly. Obama’s ratings on these and other personal dimensions, while overwhelmingly positive, have declined somewhat since February. In most cases, the falloff in positive views mirrors the decline in his job approval rating – from 64% in February to 55% today.

Read more and view the graphs at: The Pew Research Center