DRTED’S PREDICTIONS FOR KY’S FEDERAL RACES

Lunsford (D) vs. McConnell (R): Too close to call. 

This race will turn on the African-American turnout and vote.  Steve Newberry’s big vctory in the 9^th Senate District (Barren County) might also help put Lunsford over the top.

The Mitch’s close contact with the Bush is poisoning his chances for re-election. The  progressives will vote for Lunsford as an ant-Mitch vote.  The fiscal conservatives might  not vote because of their disdain for the bailout.

             

3^rd Congressional District: Yarmuth(D), with 55%  or more of the vote, beats Northup(R).  Yarmuth has represented the 3^rd Congressional District well.  Northup has not made her case for change.

2^nd Congressional District:  Edge to Guthrie(R) over Boswell (D).   Hardin County, which is very conservative, might make the difference here.  Though, Boswell is a fiscal conservative