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October 31, 2007

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ThelatestWHAS11/SurveyUSApollshowsBeshearleadingFletcher60%-36%.That'safourpointjumpoverjustoneweekago,whenBeshearledby20.Thecurrentpollingshows3%oflikelyvotersareundecided.

ThebreakoutonthenewpollnumbersshowsFletcher'ssupporthasfalleninwesternandeasternKentucky,goneupintheLouisvilleareaandstayedthesameinnorthcentralKentucky.Beshear'sbiggestleadisnowineasternKentuckywherehe'smaulingFletcher67-31.FletcherhasbeenrunningaseriesofradioadsonLouisvilleradiostations,toutingtheamountofmoneyhisadministrationhascommittedtoLouisville.ThatmayexplainwhyBeshear's65-32leadaweekagoisnow61-37.

ThepollingshowsBeshearleadingamongindependents59-36,voters50+62-35andwomen67-29.Beshear'sleadamongmenhasfallenfrom18pointsaweekagoto11points(54-43)inthecurrentpoll.

Thecasinoquestionnumbersarestillprettysteady.Thepollshows82%ofKentuckianswanttovoteonlegalizingcasinos(82-14)butmanyofthemwillvote"no"ifgiventhechance(49-46infavoroflegalization).

--MarkHebert,WHAS-TV;courtesyofFrankLeidermann,AssociateEditor